Caterpillar Inc.
Makes construction and mining machines, engines and gas turbines, sold through dealers and financed by Cat Financial.
Companies building or supplying new sources of electricity, from gas turbines to advanced nuclear. We look at order books, what new capacity costs per kilowatt, and how long licensing takes.
Makes construction and mining machines, engines and gas turbines, sold through dealers and financed by Cat Financial.
Developing 75 MWe Aurora fast-reactor powerhouses that it plans to build, own and operate, selling the power under long-term contracts.
We expect 3Q26 adjusted EPS of $6.93, 1% below the $7.03 consensus, on revenue of $20.4bn. Hold and $695 target unchanged. This is a sample quarterly update with illustrative figures.
Caterpillar’s $72bn backlog (+92% y/y) and data-center power demand are genuine, but at 23.1x our FY27E EPS of $31.81 the shares pay for them in full while margins sit at a cycle high. We initiate at Hold with a $695 target.
Oklo will build, own and operate 75 MWe Aurora fast-reactor powerhouses. At $32.21 and a 13% discount rate the shares need roughly a 100% chance of fleet success; we use 50% and set a $21 target.